Hi there,
I'm very interested in trading the German election markets, but current volume is unfortunately quite thin. Is there anyone here who thinks that the current prices (around 60% SPD, 40% CDU) are roughly accurate or even underestimate the likelihood of a change in the party control of the chancellorship? I'm looking to go long on Merkel/CDU and would like to do so in a bit more volume than what's currently on offer (up to 1000 shares right now, maybe more later). I'd be willing to offer up to a 5% markup on the current price level as an incentive for anyone who's willing to commit to selling me the full amount. Any takers?