iPredict

Andrew Robb to be Federal Leader of the Australian Liberal/National Coalition on nomination declaration day

Long Description

This contract pays $1 if Andrew Robb is the recognised federal leader of the Australian Liberal/National Coalition at the end of nomination declaration day before the next federal election; otherwise it pays $0.

Judging Criteria 

The contract is concerned solely with the leadership of the coalition (and implied candidacy for prime minister) and not with the office of leader of the opposition and/or prime minister. Except in extraordinary circumstances, it is likely this person will be the federal leader of the Liberal Party of Australia.

A list of federal Liberal leaders can be found at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberal_Party_of_Australia#Liberal_federal_leaders

"Next federal election" means the first election for all members of the Australian House of Representatives after the launch of this contract.

Nomination declaration day is discussed under "declaration of nominations" on page 15 of the election handbook at http://www.aec.gov.au/Elections/candidates/files/candidates-handbook-e2010-v2.pdf

The contract will stay open until the day after nomination declaration day.

In the event of doubt about the correct closure price, iPredict will seek advice from the Australian Liberal and National parties and/or the Australian High Commission in Wellington.

Image sourced from www.liberal.org.au

iPredict's judgment is final.

All dates and times are Canberra time.

This contract will be closed no later than 3 working days after the Close Date. The Close Date may be extended if the event outcome cannot be determined by that date.