2014 Election Vote Share: Binary Stocks

National Party Vote Share

[www.ipredict.co.nz]



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 07/16/2014 02:33AM by admin.

Labour Party Vote Share

[www.ipredict.co.nz]

Green Party Vote Share

[www.ipredict.co.nz]

Could we have Labour to get less than 26% & 25%, Greens to get greater than 12.5% & 13% & National to get greater than 45.5%, 46%, 46.5%, 47% & 47.5%.

NZ First

[www.ipredict.co.nz]

Conservatives

[www.ipredict.co.nz]

Internet Mana

[www.ipredict.co.nz]

The contract and title of this stock specify Internet Mana to win more than 3.75% of party vote, but the icon shows 2.75%

[www.ipredict.co.nz]



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 07/17/2014 06:56AM by turnip.

Fixed, thanks. Based off the trades we do not think anyone traded in the belief that it should have been 3.75%, but if anyone did can they please let us know asap.

admin Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Fixed, thanks. Based off the trades we do not
> think anyone traded in the belief that it should
> have been 3.75%, but if anyone did can they please
> let us know asap.


I traded on that belief yesterday, as the title, code and description all explicitly said 3.75%.

17 Jul 14 9:17pm Short VOTE.2014.INMN.275 -1 $0.1301 $0.0035 -$0.87 -6
17 Jul 14 9:17pm Short VOTE.2014.INMN.275 -1 $0.1419 $0.0035 -$0.86 -5
17 Jul 14 9:17pm Short VOTE.2014.INMN.275 -1 $0.1545 $0.0035 -$0.85 -4
17 Jul 14 9:17pm Short VOTE.2014.INMN.275 -1 $0.1680 $0.0035 -$0.84 -3
17 Jul 14 9:17pm Short VOTE.2014.INMN.275 -1 $0.1824 $0.0035 -$0.82 -2
17 Jul 14 9:17pm Short VOTE.2014.INMN.275 -1 $0.1978 $0.0035 -$0.81 -1


Are you even allowed to change a stock's terms like that? By doing so you've effectively defaulted.

PK Opulence,can you send us an email at [email protected] so we can sort you out.

All Vote Share contracts moved to new Vote Share tab.

Patzcuaro1 Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Could we have Labour to get less than 26% & 25%,
> Greens to get greater than 12.5% & 13% & National
> to get greater than 45.5%, 46%, 46.5%, 47% &
> 47.5%.


Hi admin

Any chance of the above stocks?

National Vote Share 2014 contracts extended up to 48%

Hi admin

I'd also be interested in higher Internet Mana stocks

Hi admin

I would be interested in LOWER Conservative stocks: [www.ipredict.co.nz]

Say, more than 2.0, more than 2.25, more than 2.5, more than 2.75 etc

Also need a Labour More Than 26%: [www.ipredict.co.nz]

Over 50% for National would be good too, I'd be keen for some free money from blinkered suckers out there.

Patzcuaro1 Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Hi admin
>
> I'd also be interested in higher Internet Mana
> stocks


Could we have Internet Mana up to 4%

Looks like there's a market for internet mana up to at least 3.5%, maybe 4

maxb Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Looks like there's a market for internet mana up
> to at least 3.5%, maybe 4


May as well go through to 5%, good enough for the Conservatives!

Generally any stock trading between about 0.2000-0.8000 has a reasonable market liquidity, so if the lowest % figure on offer is trading for less than 0.8000 there's probably a market for a lower % figure, and if the highest % figure on offer is trading for more than 0.2000 there's probably a market for a higher % figure. Using this as a rough guide I'd recommend the following stocks be introduced:

VOTE.2014.NAT.4850
VOTE.2014.LAB.2600
VOTE.2014.GRN.1300
VOTE.2014.NZF.450
VOTE.2014.NZF.475
VOTE.2014.NZF.625
VOTE.2014.INMN.300
VOTE.2014.INMN.325
VOTE.2014.INMN.350
VOTE.2014.INMN.375
VOTE.2014.INMN.400

Might also consider binary stocks for ACT.



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 07/29/2014 05:35AM by maxb.

maxb Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Generally any stock trading between about
> 0.2000-0.8000 has a reasonable market liquidity,
> so if the lowest % figure on offer is trading for
> less than 0.8000 there's probably a market for a
> lower % figure, and if the highest % figure on
> offer is trading for more than 0.2000 there's
> probably a market for a higher % figure. Using
> this as a rough guide I'd recommend the following
> stocks be introduced:
>
> VOTE.2014.NAT.4850
> VOTE.2014.LAB.2600
> VOTE.2014.GRN.1300
> VOTE.2014.NZF.450
> VOTE.2014.NZF.475
> VOTE.2014.NZF.625
> VOTE.2014.INMN.300
> VOTE.2014.INMN.325
> VOTE.2014.INMN.350
> VOTE.2014.INMN.375
> VOTE.2014.INMN.400
>
> Might also consider binary stocks for ACT.

Conservatives stocks down as far as 2.5%

[www.ipredict.co.nz]

Internet Mana stocks up as high as 4.0%, plus one at 5%

[www.ipredict.co.nz]

Suggest the following:
LAB.2400
LAB.3400
GRN.1350
GRN.1400
GRN.1450
GRN.1500
NZF.425
NZF.675
CONS.525
INMN.425
INMN.450
INMN.475
INMN.525
INMN.550

Definitely more Green and Internet Mana options anyway.



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 08/20/2014 07:16AM by maxb.

Labour could go done to 20

Added Green 13.5 and 14.0, Labour 24

General guideline is that a stock is reasonably liquid if the price is between 0.2 and 0.8. On this basis I suggest new stocks for NZ First, Conservatives, and Internet Mana

NZF 7, Conservatives 5.5 and 6 added.

Can we have NZF 7.5, 8, 8.5, 9, 9.5, 10 & Green 14.5 & 15

10 might be a bit over the top for NZF, but there's definitely a market for higher Green and NZF vote percentages.