Iowa Republican primary

Repeat for other candidates:

Mitt Romney to win the 2012 Iowa Caucus


This contract pays $1 if Mitt Romney wins the 2012 Iowa Caucus for the US Republican Party presidential nomination. Otherwise this contract pays $0.


This contract will close after a) at least three mainstream media sources report the officially declared winner of the Iowa Caucus b) there is, in iPredict’s sole view, no plausible likelihood that the result of this primary will be changed by recount or other legal challenge.



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 12/20/2011 08:39AM by admin.

The delegates for the Iowa Caucus (and other early primaries/caucuses) are allocated proportionately, so there's a possibility of a tie.

Thanks max, that's helpful to know.

Does the following rule properly address that:

In the event of a N-way tie between candidates, this contract will pay $1/N if this candidate is among N.



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 12/19/2011 12:24PM by admin.