MP.CULLEN

Michael Cullen to leave Parliament in 2009

Why is this rocketing up all of a sudden? I can't see anything on the usual news sites.

I think people must be assuming that he will jump ship with Helen. But there are two reasons why I think this could be a good short.

Firstly, he actually has to leave during 09, not just announce it. Seccondly, he is from the so called left wing faction of the party (like Helen). The labour party leadership risks becomming more right wing than National (rember Roger Douglous was in Labour during the 80s and Phil goff was one of his main supporters at the time as a young minister).

I think he will think twice about leaving and further slanting the mix of labour's sitting mps towards the right.

Anyway, that may not be an issue for him but I do think 80 cents is a bit overprioced at the moment (unless he is bidding on it himself - oh to be in that position).

the main reason he may not leave is that it will bring Judith Tizard back in on the list



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 02/12/2009 10:17AM by peteremcc.

I'll pay him to stay if that is the case!!!!

heh,

basically Judith is two away on the list.

if helen goes, phil twyford will likely stand in her seat.
should he win, he switches from being a list MP to being an electorate mp, bringing Harry Duynhoven back.

then Judith is next on the list, meaning if someone (say Cullen) leaves, then shes in,

ofc cullen may go first, but that would make it eve.n harder for twyford in mt albert because people could campaign against him saying if you vote for him, you get judith too.

my pic would be that cullen will stay on until after helen leaves and after the by-election. that way they can try and distance judith from that by-election because she wont get back in directly because of it. will be interesting to see if it works.

If Helen gets the UN job, wouldn't Judith go with her.... or would she stay and keep the Parnell house dusted?



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 02/13/2009 11:47AM by williamsheridan.

[www.stuff.co.nz]

Looks like this one is in the bag.

Interesting to see that the big jump in this stock happened just after 5am - presumably when the Stuff report hit the wires. We either have some early birds or overseas players on our hands!

to be fair its been about 2 weeks since this stock started showing progress... :0

I was up then, which is higly unusual for me, but for once didn't read the news before going out.

Typical



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 02/25/2009 10:28PM by peteremcc.