David Bain to be found not guilty

In my opinion this would be an awesome stock to do, not only to trade on but to find out what people think.

I'd be interested. Worth putting it out after the OCR closes though as some of us are pennyless

I think that would be just about the quickest way to get this site shut down.

Interesting stock nonetheless, maybe some offices could run a sweep.

Don't fully agree with Master, but understand concerns. You will find there is an older thread under new stock ideas that says what they can't run stock on (entertainment and sport).

It is at essence a social issue.

Don't see how it is any different from things like the original Peters stock (which bounced wildly as his hearing draged on).

The only thing you would have to be careful of is discussion on the forum, but it is unlikely anything supressed will end up on here.

Unless there is a law that specifically prohibits any kind of "betting" on court cases, but I have studied law and I never heard of one.



Edited 3 time(s). Last edit at 03/06/2009 05:11PM by rocketman101.

Well, I don't know how you could study law and not hear about "contempt of court" or "conspiracy to pervert the course of justice"...



EDITED TO ADD: It would be a very interesting stock. I think it would be like the global warming ones where fervent supporters would drive the price up beyond what was reasonable.



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 03/06/2009 07:14PM by the_master.

of course, but you actually have to breach a court order or common standards to be in comtmpt.

I agree they should be careful, but feel it should be ok. They should be able to get legal advice on this no problem.

It would be a very nice stock over the next few months, with, I am sure, plenty of movement as different elements of the case were presented.

Could even be bundled:

• BAIN.09.NOTGUILTY - initially 70c?
• BAIN.09.GUILTY - 25c
• BAIN.09.OTHER (to handle a hung jury, mis-trial, etc.) - 5c

Note that I put the .09. distinguisher in, for later trials...

The same thought for this stock occurred to me also.

But on deeper reflection, I don't see any reason to tie the pleasures of entertainment, personal gain, and analytical/knowledge harboring systems to a murder trial.

Not one for me.

I'd also be very hesitant to put money on someone else's freedom or misery (politicians don't count).

More palatable options, if the market simply must have a Bain stock, could include the length of the trial - could run overtime or finish early; whether there will be a hung jury; length of jury deliberations...

Actually, they're all starting to sound a bit macabre. Might be best to steer clear of it completely!

'But on deeper reflection, I don't see any reason to tie the pleasures of entertainment, personal gain, and analytical/knowledge harboring systems to a murder trial.'

Don't become a lawyer then ...

lol, good call

Funny thread.

I will ask our lawyer since the possibility of running contracts court cases might be interesting to legal schools around the country (we have a research objective) and a prediction market can certainly give insights into evidence coming out of the trial that does or does not matter.

But I strongly suspect this will cross boundaries that could get us shut down, as Master notes. We'll see.

I can confirm running contracts on this or any trial isn't a good idea.

Dammit! I was just going to suggest two stocks: BAIN.GUILTY and IPREDICT.SHUTDOWN.THISWEEK

BK Drinkwater

LOL