iPredict Discussion Forums - Offers to Trade Announce offers to buy and sell /forum/list.php?17 Tue, 26 Jan 2016 01:51:09 +1300 Phorum 5.2.10 /forum/read.php?17,34403,34403#msg-34403 BULK Warren (Prez or VicePrez) for Sale? (no replies) /forum/read.php?17,34403,34403#msg-34403 DrPierreHazedoneas Offers to Trade Sun, 27 Sep 2015 11:46:09 +1300 /forum/read.php?17,34038,34038#msg-34038 US.DEM16.WARREN Buying 1224@0.0200 (1 reply) /forum/read.php?17,34038,34038#msg-34038 www.ipredict.co.nz]]]> 12.31pm Offers to Trade Thu, 14 May 2015 10:56:53 +1200 /forum/read.php?17,34037,34037#msg-34037 ETLIFE.2016 Buying 50@$0.0300 (no replies) /forum/read.php?17,34037,34037#msg-34037 www.ipredict.co.nz]]]> 12.31pm Offers to Trade Wed, 13 May 2015 14:52:23 +1200 /forum/read.php?17,19913,19913#msg-19913 NZ First to use balance of power to support National-led Government/be in Parliament after next election but not hold balance of power (no replies) /forum/read.php?17,19913,19913#msg-19913
I think these two stocks are great to hold together.

NZ1.BOP.NATS
Selling 20 @ 0.2958

NZ1.BOP.NOBOP
Selling 19 @ 0.2085]]>
PK_Opulence Offers to Trade Sat, 16 Mar 2013 18:19:30 +1300
/forum/read.php?17,19802,19802#msg-19802 David Cunliffe to be on the Labour Party Front Bench on 1 March 2013 (no replies) /forum/read.php?17,19802,19802#msg-19802 Lanthanide Offers to Trade Wed, 20 Feb 2013 21:28:50 +1300 /forum/read.php?17,19463,19463#msg-19463 German election markets (no replies) /forum/read.php?17,19463,19463#msg-19463
I'm very interested in trading the German election markets, but current volume is unfortunately quite thin. Is there anyone here who thinks that the current prices (around 60% SPD, 40% CDU) are roughly accurate or even underestimate the likelihood of a change in the party control of the chancellorship? I'm looking to go long on Merkel/CDU and would like to do so in a bit more volume than what's currently on offer (up to 1000 shares right now, maybe more later). I'd be willing to offer up to a 5% markup on the current price level as an incentive for anyone who's willing to commit to selling me the full amount. Any takers?]]>
Roestigraben Offers to Trade Mon, 10 Dec 2012 03:04:44 +1300
/forum/read.php?17,17788,17788#msg-17788 Maurice Williamson to go by Budget Day (1 reply) /forum/read.php?17,17788,17788#msg-17788 www.ipredict.co.nz]

I have a huge buy order in (2400 stocks) at 5c - so this is a good opportunity if someone wants to short this.

As far as I can tell, this is pretty much certain to close at 0 so it's a "safe bet" for anyone looking to make 5% in under two weeks.

I would stay in but I want to withdraw the cash.

Buy order will stay in for a few days but if no one snaps some up then I may cancel the order and wait until close.]]>
Gizmo Offers to Trade Tue, 15 May 2012 12:22:31 +1200
/forum/read.php?17,17384,17384#msg-17384 Cheap US politics stocks (2 replies) /forum/read.php?17,17384,17384#msg-17384 Update: these orders are no longer available.

I'll soon be going overseas for a couple of months, and want to reduce the size of my portfolio as much as possible before then. I have the following orders for a range of US stocks at very favourable prices for whoever picks them up.

Missouri Republican primary

See this thread for details, but Romney currently has 50% of the awarded delegates and is expected to get a much greater proportion of the remaining ones (Santorum is second with 30%, followed by Paul with 17%). Pretty much guaranteed to be a Romney win. Results should be available June 3 New Zealand time, so these offer a 4-5% return over a month (which is a 60-80% annual return).

Mitt Romney to win Missouri: Sell 35 @ $0.97 $0.95
Ron Paul to win Missouri: Buy 100 @ $0.025 $0.04

US presidential election - Swing states

Arizona

This has leant Republican in the past, though has been becoming less so, and McCain only won it by 10% even though it was his home state. Recent polling has shown it's very competitive (of the last two polls, one had Romney +2 and one had Obama +2), so the Republican candidate to win seems overpriced.

Democratic candidate to win Arizona: Sell 50 at $0.27 $0.24
Republican candidate to win Arizona: Buy 50 at $0.73 $0.76

Florida

There's somewhere between 55% and 64% chance of a Republican win according to Intrade, so these are at a 11-23% discount.

Republican candidate to win Florida: Sell 20 at $0.51 $0.49
Democratic candidate to win Florida: Buy 30 at $0.49 $0.51

US presidential election - Leans/strong Democrat

New Mexico

A swing state in 2000 and 2004, but won by Obama by 15% in 2008. Polling this year has Obama up by a similar margin.

Democratic candidate to win New Mexico: Sell 30 at $0.80 $0.76
Republican candidate to win New Mexico: Buy 30 at $0.20 $0.23

Oregon

The Democratic candidate has won by 0.5%-16% in the last three elections, but this has been steadily growing (it was 16% in 2008). Polling has Obama 8-12% ahead.

Democratic candidate to win Oregon: Sell 65 at $0.80 $0.78

US presidential election - Strong Republican states

Arkansas

Romney polling 16-24% ahead, McCain won by 20% in 2008.

Democratic candidate to win Arkansas: Buy 80 at $0.10 $0.12
Republican candidate to win Arkansas: Sell 80 at $0.90 $0.87

Nebraska

The Republican candidate has won by 15-33% in the last three elections.

Democratic candidate to win Nebraska: Buy 60 at $0.07 $0.10
Republican candidate to win Nebraska: Sell 80 at $0.93 $0.90

US presidential election - Very strong Republican states

Idaho

The Republican candidate has won by 25-40% in the last three elections.

Democratic candidate to win Idaho: Buy 100 at $0.03 $0.06
Republican candidate to win Idaho: Sell 100 at $0.97 $0.934

Oklahoma

The Republican candidate has won by 22-31% in the last three elections (31% in the last two).

Democratic candidate to win Oklahoma: Buy 40 at $0.03 $0.06
Republican candidate to win Oklahoma: Sell 50 at $0.97 $0.934

Wyoming

The Republican candidate has won by 32-40% in the last three elections.

Democratic candidate to win Wyoming: Buy 250 at $0.04 $0.06

US presidential election - 'Other' candidates

Happy to sell these for any price really - I only got them through arbitrage, but there are no buy orders for me to fill.

Other to win Minnesota: Sell 40 at $0.0020 $0.0005
Other to win Wisconsin: Sell 20 at $0.0020 $0.0005
Other to win Wyoming: Sell 60 at $0.0020 $0.0005

Nebraska congressional districts

Nebraska (a very Republican state) has three congressional districts. After recent redistricting, NE-1 and NE-2 may be competitive, however NE-3 is very Republican - much more so than the state as a whole. Considering Nebraska itself will almost certainly be won by Romney, NE-3 is a fairly secure investment.

Republican candidate to win NE-3: Sell 150 at $0.96 $0.934
Democratic candidate to win NE-3: Buy 100 at $0.04 $0.06]]>
hmonkey Offers to Trade Thu, 03 May 2012 23:29:40 +1200
/forum/read.php?17,14075,14075#msg-14075 Selling 52 RWC.Odlins plaza @ 0.9750 (2 replies) /forum/read.php?17,14075,14075#msg-14075
I'm the bastard that snapped this stock up. 2.5C margin for anyone willing to buy and hold until the contract closes, probably within 1-2 weeks I guess.

[www.ipredict.co.nz]]]>
Lanthanide Offers to Trade Thu, 06 Oct 2011 21:00:24 +1300
/forum/read.php?17,9799,9799#msg-9799 One night only - 2011 Election results (5 replies) /forum/read.php?17,9799,9799#msg-9799
Buy Labour: 500@ 0.2210
(/app.php?do=trade&symbol=PM.2011.LABOUR)

Sell National: [email protected]
(/app.php?do=trade&symbol=PM.2011.NATIONAL)


As others have mentioned, would be great if we could have a new section on the forum for negotiating trades and/or advertising big bids and asks in the order book.]]>
hidn Offers to Trade Wed, 11 May 2011 14:07:45 +1200