Announce offers to buy and sell /forum/list.php?17 Tue, 26 Jan 2016 01:50:59 +1300 Phorum 5.2.10 /forum/read.php?17,34403,34403#msg-34403 /forum/read.php?17,34403,34403#msg-34403 DrPierreHazedoneas Offers to Trade Sun, 27 Sep 2015 11:46:09 +1300 /forum/read.php?17,34038,34043#msg-34043 /forum/read.php?17,34038,34043#msg-34043 12.31pm Offers to Trade Thu, 14 May 2015 10:56:53 +1200 /forum/read.php?17,34038,34038#msg-34038 /forum/read.php?17,34038,34038#msg-34038 www.ipredict.co.nz]]]> 12.31pm Offers to Trade Wed, 13 May 2015 15:05:03 +1200 /forum/read.php?17,34037,34037#msg-34037 /forum/read.php?17,34037,34037#msg-34037 www.ipredict.co.nz]]]> 12.31pm Offers to Trade Wed, 13 May 2015 14:52:23 +1200 /forum/read.php?17,19913,19913#msg-19913 /forum/read.php?17,19913,19913#msg-19913
I think these two stocks are great to hold together.

NZ1.BOP.NATS
Selling 20 @ 0.2958

NZ1.BOP.NOBOP
Selling 19 @ 0.2085]]> PK_Opulence Offers to Trade Sat, 16 Mar 2013 18:19:30 +1300 /forum/read.php?17,19802,19802#msg-19802 /forum/read.php?17,19802,19802#msg-19802 Lanthanide Offers to Trade Wed, 20 Feb 2013 21:28:50 +1300 /forum/read.php?17,19463,19463#msg-19463 /forum/read.php?17,19463,19463#msg-19463
I'm very interested in trading the German election markets, but current volume is unfortunately quite thin. Is there anyone here who thinks that the current prices (around 60% SPD, 40% CDU) are roughly accurate or even underestimate the likelihood of a change in the party control of the chancellorship? I'm looking to go long on Merkel/CDU and would like to do so in a bit more volume than what's currently on offer (up to 1000 shares right now, maybe more later). I'd be willing to offer up to a 5% markup on the current price level as an incentive for anyone who's willing to commit to selling me the full amount. Any takers?]]> Roestigraben Offers to Trade Mon, 10 Dec 2012 03:04:44 +1300 /forum/read.php?17,17788,17840#msg-17840 /forum/read.php?17,17788,17840#msg-17840
~ One week until close.]]> Gizmo Offers to Trade Tue, 15 May 2012 12:22:31 +1200 /forum/read.php?17,17788,17788#msg-17788 /forum/read.php?17,17788,17788#msg-17788 www.ipredict.co.nz]

I have a huge buy order in (2400 stocks) at 5c - so this is a good opportunity if someone wants to short this.

As far as I can tell, this is pretty much certain to close at 0 so it's a "safe bet" for anyone looking to make 5% in under two weeks.

I would stay in but I want to withdraw the cash.

Buy order will stay in for a few days but if no one snaps some up then I may cancel the order and wait until close.]]> Gizmo Offers to Trade Fri, 11 May 2012 10:03:38 +1200 /forum/read.php?17,17384,17575#msg-17575 /forum/read.php?17,17384,17575#msg-17575 hmonkey Offers to Trade Thu, 03 May 2012 23:29:40 +1200 /forum/read.php?17,17384,17469#msg-17469 /forum/read.php?17,17384,17469#msg-17469 hmonkey Offers to Trade Tue, 01 May 2012 22:32:48 +1200 /forum/read.php?17,17384,17384#msg-17384 /forum/read.php?17,17384,17384#msg-17384 Update: these orders are no longer available.

I'll soon be going overseas for a couple of months, and want to reduce the size of my portfolio as much as possible before then. I have the following orders for a range of US stocks at very favourable prices for whoever picks them up.

Missouri Republican primary

See this thread for details, but Romney currently has 50% of the awarded delegates and is expected to get a much greater proportion of the remaining ones (Santorum is second with 30%, followed by Paul with 17%). Pretty much guaranteed to be a Romney win. Results should be available June 3 New Zealand time, so these offer a 4-5% return over a month (which is a 60-80% annual return).

Mitt Romney to win Missouri: Sell 35 @ $0.97 $0.95
Ron Paul to win Missouri: Buy 100 @ $0.025 $0.04

US presidential election - Swing states

Arizona

This has leant Republican in the past, though has been becoming less so, and McCain only won it by 10% even though it was his home state. Recent polling has shown it's very competitive (of the last two polls, one had Romney +2 and one had Obama +2), so the Republican candidate to win seems overpriced.

Democratic candidate to win Arizona: Sell 50 at $0.27 $0.24
Republican candidate to win Arizona: Buy 50 at $0.73 $0.76

Florida

There's somewhere between 55% and 64% chance of a Republican win according to Intrade, so these are at a 11-23% discount.

Republican candidate to win Florida: Sell 20 at $0.51 $0.49
Democratic candidate to win Florida: Buy 30 at $0.49 $0.51

US presidential election - Leans/strong Democrat

New Mexico

A swing state in 2000 and 2004, but won by Obama by 15% in 2008. Polling this year has Obama up by a similar margin.

Democratic candidate to win New Mexico: Sell 30 at $0.80 $0.76
Republican candidate to win New Mexico: Buy 30 at $0.20 $0.23

Oregon

The Democratic candidate has won by 0.5%-16% in the last three elections, but this has been steadily growing (it was 16% in 2008). Polling has Obama 8-12% ahead.

Democratic candidate to win Oregon: Sell 65 at $0.80 $0.78

US presidential election - Strong Republican states

Arkansas

Romney polling 16-24% ahead, McCain won by 20% in 2008.

Democratic candidate to win Arkansas: Buy 80 at $0.10 $0.12
Republican candidate to win Arkansas: Sell 80 at $0.90 $0.87

Nebraska

The Republican candidate has won by 15-33% in the last three elections.

Democratic candidate to win Nebraska: Buy 60 at $0.07 $0.10
Republican candidate to win Nebraska: Sell 80 at $0.93 $0.90

US presidential election - Very strong Republican states

Idaho

The Republican candidate has won by 25-40% in the last three elections.

Democratic candidate to win Idaho: Buy 100 at $0.03 $0.06
Republican candidate to win Idaho: Sell 100 at $0.97 $0.934

Oklahoma

The Republican candidate has won by 22-31% in the last three elections (31% in the last two).

Democratic candidate to win Oklahoma: Buy 40 at $0.03 $0.06
Republican candidate to win Oklahoma: Sell 50 at $0.97 $0.934

Wyoming

The Republican candidate has won by 32-40% in the last three elections.

Democratic candidate to win Wyoming: Buy 250 at $0.04 $0.06

US presidential election - 'Other' candidates

Happy to sell these for any price really - I only got them through arbitrage, but there are no buy orders for me to fill.

Other to win Minnesota: Sell 40 at $0.0020 $0.0005
Other to win Wisconsin: Sell 20 at $0.0020 $0.0005
Other to win Wyoming: Sell 60 at $0.0020 $0.0005

Nebraska congressional districts

Nebraska (a very Republican state) has three congressional districts. After recent redistricting, NE-1 and NE-2 may be competitive, however NE-3 is very Republican - much more so than the state as a whole. Considering Nebraska itself will almost certainly be won by Romney, NE-3 is a fairly secure investment.

Republican candidate to win NE-3: Sell 150 at $0.96 $0.934
Democratic candidate to win NE-3: Buy 100 at $0.04 $0.06]]> hmonkey Offers to Trade Sat, 28 Apr 2012 03:35:45 +1200 /forum/read.php?17,14075,14081#msg-14081 /forum/read.php?17,14075,14081#msg-14081
Here's the original Active Stock thread for this: [www.ipredict.co.nz]

Admin said:
The contract con't close before the resource consent is obtained or the matter is resolved.

I guess take it up with him over there. I no longer have any skin in this game! I decided to get out of it early just in case the All Blacks lose early, now that Dan Carter is out, therefore not making it to the Final and the fan zone being called off.]]> Lanthanide Offers to Trade Thu, 06 Oct 2011 21:00:24 +1300 /forum/read.php?17,14075,14079#msg-14079 /forum/read.php?17,14075,14079#msg-14079
Incidentally (or not so incidentally, actually), I think this should immediately close at $1:

This contract will immediately close at $1 if it is a) definitively announced by a person holding suitable authority that Odlins Plaza will be used as a fan zone for any period that includes the Rugby World Cup Final, and b) iPredict is not aware of any reason this position will change (for example, an RMA consent has not been issued). iPredict reserves the right to delay closing this contract pending clarification.

The Mayor has stated categorically it will stay open (see Kiwiblog and TVNZ) and it is listed as an Official FanZone on the Wellington RWC 2011 page.

Unless iPredict is aware of any reason why this should change, this should immediately close at $1.

[Edit: I realise the contract refers to RMA consent, but only as a reason why iPredict is aware the Mayor's position will change. I'd argue given the statements by the Mayor, iPredict isn't currently aware of a reason that it will change.]]]> gr Offers to Trade Thu, 06 Oct 2011 18:40:04 +1300 /forum/read.php?17,14075,14075#msg-14075 /forum/read.php?17,14075,14075#msg-14075
I'm the bastard that snapped this stock up. 2.5C margin for anyone willing to buy and hold until the contract closes, probably within 1-2 weeks I guess.

[www.ipredict.co.nz]]]> Lanthanide Offers to Trade Thu, 06 Oct 2011 17:27:08 +1300 /forum/read.php?17,9799,11870#msg-11870 /forum/read.php?17,9799,11870#msg-11870 sleemanj Offers to Trade Wed, 11 May 2011 14:07:45 +1200 /forum/read.php?17,9799,11869#msg-11869 /forum/read.php?17,9799,11869#msg-11869 gr Offers to Trade Wed, 11 May 2011 13:37:14 +1200 /forum/read.php?17,9799,11868#msg-11868 /forum/read.php?17,9799,11868#msg-11868 www.stuff.co.nz]

The iPredict market seems to have had no reaction to the announcement at all [yet].

For laughs, the straw poll on the stuff article presently indicates a 50/50 split between "change vote" and not, roughly 1500 of each.

Edit: Sorry, I didn't notice this was not the thread I was really looking for, I had just searched PM.2011.NATIONAL which doesn't seem to exist in Active Stocks. I guess this thread will have to do then.]]> sleemanj Offers to Trade Wed, 11 May 2011 13:04:49 +1200 /forum/read.php?17,9799,9809#msg-9809 /forum/read.php?17,9799,9809#msg-9809 ECrampton Offers to Trade Wed, 03 Nov 2010 09:25:59 +1300 /forum/read.php?17,9799,9800#msg-9800 /forum/read.php?17,9799,9800#msg-9800
And also, why the huge discrepancy? I've added more LABOUR bids to tidy up the books.]]> hidn Offers to Trade Tue, 02 Nov 2010 23:26:13 +1300 /forum/read.php?17,9799,9799#msg-9799 /forum/read.php?17,9799,9799#msg-9799
Buy Labour: 500@ 0.2210
(/app.php?do=trade&symbol=PM.2011.LABOUR)

Sell National: [email protected]
(/app.php?do=trade&symbol=PM.2011.NATIONAL)


As others have mentioned, would be great if we could have a new section on the forum for negotiating trades and/or advertising big bids and asks in the order book.]]> hidn Offers to Trade Tue, 02 Nov 2010 23:22:16 +1300