Our Bashar al-Assad Stocks have had very high volumes for quite some time now, so much so that we have managed to launch stocks without market makers without significant instability in their pricing. We aren’t the only real money prediction market to have stocks about Mr al-Assad. Intrade have this stock which concerns his departure by 1 July 2013. It’s phrased in the reverse but essentially concerns the same outcome.
It is curious that the Intrade stock gives Mr al-Assad only a 35% chance of being Syrian President by 1 July 2013, because iPredict traders give him a 60% chance. Intrade volumes are also high, so if anyone has accounts with both markets this would present a real arbitrage opportunity a la Eric Crampton.