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Contract Details

Julia Gillard to be federal leader of the Australian Labor Party on nomination declaration day

Julia Gillard to be federal leader of the Australian Labor Party on nomination declaration day

Contract Info 
  • Last Trade Price: $0.0000
  • Last Trade Time:
    16 Aug 13 12:00am
  • Today’s Volume: 0
  • Average Daily Volume: 0.0
  • Today’s Change:
    NC (0.00%) 
  • Start Date: 20 May 12
  • Close Date: 6 Jan 14
  • Status: Closed

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Long Description

This contract pays $1 if Julia Gillard is the federal leader of the Australian Labor Party at the end of nomination declaration day before the next federal election; otherwise it pays $0.

Judging Criteria 

The contract is concerned solely with the leadership of the party (and implied candidacy for prime minister) and not with the office of prime minister.

A list of federal ALP leaders can be found at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_ALP_federal_leaders_by_time_served

"Next federal election" means the first election for all members of the Australian House of Representatives after the launch of this contract.

Nomination declaration day is discussed under "declaration of nominations" on page 15 of the election handbook at http://www.aec.gov.au/Elections/candidates/files/candidates-handbook-e2010-v2.pdf

The contract will stay open until the day after nomination declaration day.

In the event of doubt about the correct closure price, iPredict will seek advice from the Australian Labor Party and/or the Australian High Commission in Wellington.

iPredict's judgment is final.

All dates and times are Canberra time.

This contract will be closed no later than 3 working days after the Close Date. The Close Date may be extended if the event outcome cannot be determined by that date.